Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.725841 2.875037 3.030966 3.206604 3.399571 3.605837 3.843949
2025-10-26 2.493684 2.709762 2.947168 3.229533 3.559138 3.935453 4.403132
2025-11-02 2.334409 2.584396 2.867923 3.217427 3.642642 4.151428 4.819583
2025-11-09 2.181992 2.447761 2.756128 3.146361 3.636156 4.243945 5.078365
2025-11-16 2.069160 2.346772 2.675082 3.099959 3.647912 4.350345 5.354986
2025-11-23 2.005387 2.298752 2.652220 3.119946 3.739987 4.562114 5.790597
2025-11-30 1.943346 2.247986 2.620983 3.124256 3.807988 4.742906 6.198704
2025-12-07 1.852537 2.156227 2.532163 3.046282 3.756880 4.750175 6.344369
2025-12-14 1.773828 2.075978 2.453691 2.976543 3.710644 4.757908 6.487435
2025-12-21 1.724905 2.031334 2.418697 2.962447 3.739969 4.876233 6.818741
2025-12-28 1.679777 1.989470 2.384989 2.947414 3.765542 4.988941 7.152242
2026-01-04 1.638821 1.951260 2.354122 2.934019 3.791473 5.102562 7.499961
2026-01-11 1.608997 1.928605 2.345752 2.955679 3.876918 5.327689 8.104352
2026-01-18 1.577809 1.903230 2.332900 2.970667 3.954155 5.549127 8.748544
2026-01-25 1.540449 1.867867 2.304327 2.960366 3.989956 5.702540 9.284455
2026-02-01 1.488457 1.810816 2.243163 2.898298 3.938271 5.697271 9.481620
2026-02-08 1.446666 1.766324 2.197911 2.857717 3.918407 5.746307 9.807873
2026-02-15 1.425855 1.749842 2.191440 2.875203 3.994731 5.977982 10.605915
2026-02-22 1.402069 1.728347 2.176776 2.878973 4.047675 6.170697 11.358482
2026-03-01 1.357947 1.677226 2.117637 2.810709 3.972657 6.107412 11.435867
2026-03-08 1.318006 1.631010 2.064311 2.749534 3.906638 6.056614 11.539750
2026-03-15 1.294252 1.606932 2.042479 2.737155 3.925183 6.177298 12.149480
2026-03-22 1.271410 1.583509 2.020804 2.723947 3.941153 6.293957 12.781025